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Safe Haven

August 28, 2013 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

Gold is your insurance policy for your portfolio. It acts as a counterbalance when investors smell fear and bail out of stocks. That’s exactly what’s happening now. Too bad for those who sold their safe haven investment at the bottom. Claudia Carpenter and Phoebe Sedgmann write at Bloomberg:

Gold climbed to a three-month high in New York, approaching a bull market, as speculation about an attack against Syria within days spurred demand for precious metals as a haven. Silver rose to four-month high.

Any armed response would be focused on Syria’s weapons capabilities and wouldn’t be aimed at deposing President Bashar al-Assad, U.S. and U.K. officials said. U.K. Prime Minister David Cameron said in London that while no decision has been made on a course of action, it would be legal and proportionate.

Surging demand for jewelry, coins and bars in Asia helped prices rally 18 percent since the end of June. Bullion is set for the first annual drop in 13 years after some investors lost faith in the metal as a store of value, spurring at least $26 billion of writedowns in the mining industry and losses for John Paulson, the billionaire hedge fund manager.

“We are seeing safe haven buying across the board,” said Bernard Sin, head of currency and metal trading at bullion refiner MKS (Switzerland) SA in Geneva. “Geopolitical uncertainty triggered this buying interest.”

Gold for December delivery gained as much as 1 percent to $1,434 an ounce, the highest since May 14, and was at $1,425.20 at 7:23 a.m. on Comex in New York. A close at $1,453.92 would leave the market up 20 percent from the 34-month low on June 27, meeting the common definition of a bull market. Trading was 14 percent below the average in the past 100 days for this time of day, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Record High

Gold for immediate delivery climbed 0.7 percent to $1,424.79 in London. The metal traded in Indian rupees advanced to a record as the currency sank to an all-time low.

Assets in the SPDR Gold Trust reached the highest since Aug. 1, gaining 0.1 percent to 921.03 metric tons, according to the fund’s website. Holdings rose for a second week in the five days to Aug. 23.

Silver for December delivery climbed as much as 1.9 percent to $25.16 an ounce, the highest since April 15, and trading was almost triple the average for the past 100 days at this time of day, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Platinum futures were little changed at $1,531 an ounce and palladium declined 0.6 percent to $746.60 an ounce.

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
E.J. Smith is Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. His focus at all times is on preparing clients and readers for “Times Like These.” E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998.

E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH, NH, where he completed course-work in Practical and Defensive Handgun, Conceal Carry Pistol, Shotguns, Precision Scope Rifle and Kidnapping Prevention.

E.J. plays a Yamaha Recording Custom drum set with Zilldjian cymbals. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zildjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart (RIP) of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West and Paris.

Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@yoursurvivalguy.com

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