Richardcyoung.com

The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young

  • Home
  • How We Are Different
  • Debbie Young
  • About Us
    • Foundation Principles
    • Contributors
  • Investing
    • You’ve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What?
  • Your Survival Guy
  • The Great Reset
  • The Swiss Way
  • My Rifles
  • Dividends and Compounding
  • Your Security
  • COVID-19
  • Dick Young
  • Key West
  • Paris
  • Dick’s R&B Top 100
  • Liberty & Freedom Map
  • Bank Credit & Money
  • Your Survival Guy’s Super States
  • NNT & Cholesterol
  • Work to Make Money/Invest to Save Money
  • Your Health
  • Ron Paul
  • US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool

Election Tracker 2020: As Democrats Flounder, Trump’s Approval Soars

February 25, 2020 By Tim Jones

President Donald J. Trump and Hope for Prisoners founder and CEO Jon Ponder present Hope for Prisoners graduates with their diplomas Thursday, Feb. 20, 2020, at the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Department in Las Vegas. (Official White House Photo by Shealah Craighead)

President Trump’s approval rating hit 46.3% today in the RCP average. That’s an all-time high. The President also scored his lowest disapproval rate since April 18, 2017.

Trump Nearing the Reelection “Sweet Spot”

The President’s average net disapproval ratings (disapproval minus approval) are at 4.3 points according to Real Clear Politics. Those are his best numbers since the early honeymoon days of his presidency. A number of recent polls have even found the President’s approval ratings in the “reelection sweet spot” area of 49% or more.

According to famed poll analyst Nate Silver, the simple rule for incumbent approval ratings “seems nearly perfect: every incumbent with an approval rating of 49 percent or higher won re-election, while every candidate with a rating of 48 percent or lower lost.” The closer the President’s approval ratings move toward 49%, the more likely his reelection.

Can Democrats Pick a Moderate They Like Before Bernie Runs Away with the Nomination?

In the Democratic primary, Sen. Bernie Sanders’ polls are soaring. He’s currently enjoying 29.3% support, but is that enough to coronate him? The short answer is no. Former Vice President Joe Biden enjoyed that level of support up until the Iowa caucuses, and it didn’t insulate him at all. Sanders’ grasp on the nomination is just as tenuous.

While Sanders is enjoying his lead, moderate Democratic voters are trying to determine which of the non-Sanders candidates they should rally behind. Judging by his spending, former Mayor Michael Bloomberg is eager to assume the mantle of leading establishment candidate. Judging by his debate performance in Nevada, he isn’t ready yet.

Bloomberg has gone on a name-recognition spending spree, introducing himself to voters across the country. Today, his polling of 15.3% is very near that Biden’s, who maintains 17.2% support. Since his disastrous performance in the debate, Bloomberg’s rapid rise in the polls has flattened.

By waiting so long to get on the ballot, Bloomberg gave Sanders time to pick up speed into Super Tuesday. After his shaky debate performance, establishment Democrats may be reviewing their options. Biden’s poll freefall stopped after the debate, and Warren has picked up support, while  Klobuchar and Buttigieg have lost some of their momentum.

State Polling: Is South Carolina Biden’s Last Stand? Or the Beginning of a Comeback?

For much of the race, Joe Biden led polling in Nevada by a wide margin. The state ended up delivering Biden a distant second-place finish behind Bernie Sanders. That makes South Carolina Biden’s last opportunity to show voters and donors he can win.

Unlike in Nevada, Biden is heading into South Carolina with positive momentum in the polls. In South Carolina, things are a bit better for Biden. The last four polls run in the state have him leading, and by increasing spreads. The debate tonight will give Biden, and all the other candidates, one last big stage from which to seek support.

Every day Democrats can’t make up their minds, Trump is getting stronger.

See all Election Tracker 2020 coverage by clicking here.

Related Posts

  • Trump’s Total Approval Beats Obama’s
  • Election Tracker 2020: Democrats Battle in Iowa as Trump Expects Acquittal
  • How Democrats Risk Losing the 2020 Presidential Election
  • Author
  • Recent Posts
Tim Jones
Timothy O. Jones is a Senior Editor at Young Research & Publishing Inc. and Associate Editor for Young's World Money Forecast.
Latest posts by Tim Jones (see all)
  • If RBG Couldn’t Be Trusted on Kaepernick, What About Her Work at the Supreme Court? - October 18, 2021
  • COLLAPSE: Biden’s Poor Performance Could Tank Dems in 2022 - October 12, 2021
  • SCADA Vulnerable to Cyber Attack and EMPs - May 11, 2021

Dick Young’s Must Reads

  • What to Do about China?
  • “I’ve Got Guys Buying Guns/Ammo for Me All Through the Night.”
  • Victor Davis Hanson: How to Bust DC’s Stronghold
  • “An Epic Struggle Over the Definition of America”
  • Your Survival Guy Prefers Bombardier’s Global Express 7500
  • The County Sheriff: America’s Last Hope
  • Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer
  • Your Survival Guy’s 2022 Super States: #1 New Hampshire
  • Your Sheriff Can Thwart Federal Gun Control Efforts
  • Meet Me at Freddy’s June 2022

Our Most Popular Posts

  • Freefalling at Stanford
  • Is Vanguard Voting Against Your Political Beliefs?
  • The Forgotten America
  • Does Anyone Still Think Ron Paul Was Wrong?
  • Rand Paul Surprises Moderna CEO with Inside Information about Myocarditis Risk
  • Biden's Fake Democracy Summit: Hungary and Turkey Snubbed
  • “You Just Have to Be Willing to Move Defensively”
  • Your Survival Guy’s #1 Habit of Fairly Successful People
  • Dick & Debbie: Over Three Decades in Key West
  • What’s John Kerry Doing in Mexico?

Disclosure

RSS Youngresearch.com

  • BEWARE: The Road to Digital Currencies
  • Another Habit of Highly Successful and Fairly Wealthy People
  • The Greatest Threats to the American Economy
  • Your Survival Guy’s #1 Habit of Fairly Successful People
  • New Regulation Coming for CDS Market?
  • “You Just Have to Be Willing to Move Defensively”
  • Americans Are Fleeing Bank Deposits
  • If You’re a Highly Effective Person, We Should Talk
  • Trouble Now Brewing at Deutsche Bank
  • Is Vanguard Voting Against Your Political Beliefs?

RSS Yoursurvivalguy.com

  • BEWARE: The Road to Digital Currencies
  • Bad Guys Have Guns, Targets Must be Hardened
  • Another Habit of Highly Successful and Fairly Wealthy People
  • The Greatest Threats to the American Economy
  • Is America about to Deploy Star Wars-like X-Wings on the Battlefield?
  • Your Survival Guy’s #1 Habit of Fairly Successful People
  • Western Real Estate: From Zoom to Bust
  • “You Just Have to Be Willing to Move Defensively”
  • Did SVB Fail Because of Climate Change?
  • If You’re a Highly Effective Person, We Should Talk

In Chicago, Education Connects the Dots

BEWARE: The Road to Digital Currencies

Sen. Ted Cruz Has a Plan to Stop Biden’s Supreme Court Packing Scheme

Who Paid Indian Hackers to Infiltrate the Rockefeller Family Fund?

BIDEN’S BORDER: Massive Caravan of Illegal Immigrants Enters El Paso

Bad Guys Have Guns, Targets Must be Hardened

Copyright © 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives