Richardcyoung.com

  • Home
  • Debbie Young
  • Jimmy Buffett
  • Key West
  • Your Survival Guy
  • How We Are Different
  • Paris
  • About Us
    • Foundation Principles
    • Contributors
  • Investing
    • You’ve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What?
  • The Swiss Way
  • My Rifles
  • Dividends and Compounding
  • Your Security
  • Dick Young
  • Dick’s R&B Top 100
  • Liberty & Freedom Map
  • Bank Credit & Money
  • Your Survival Guy’s Super States
  • NNT & Cholesterol
  • Your Health
  • Ron Paul
  • US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool
  • Anti-Gun Control
  • Anti-Digital Currency
  • Joel Salatin & Alfie Oakes
  • World Gold Mine Production
  • Fidelity & Wellington Since 1971
  • Hillsdale College
  • Babson College
  • Contact Us

Forecasting Recession

November 2, 2011 By The Editors

In October, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence expectations index plunged deep into recessionary territory. The index has only been lower twice in its more than four decade history. Both episodes were associated with deep recessions. Why are consumers forecasting recession? Wasn’t October the best month in stocks in almost two decades? Maybe low consumer confidence has something to do with income. In the third quarter, real personal income excluding transfer payments fell for the first time since the recovery began. So we have millions who are scraping by with unemployment benefits and those who are working are seeing their incomes fall. That doesn’t bode well for future economic growth.    

Related Posts

  • Recession and the Stock Market
  • Ready for a Recession Double Dip
  • Is America Collapsing Back Into Recession?
  • Author
  • Recent Posts
The Editors
The Editors
The Editors
Latest posts by The Editors (see all)
  • STARLING: IBM Is Building a ‘Fault Tolerant’ Quantum Computer - June 16, 2025
  • Mossad in Iran - June 16, 2025
  • Are California Politicians Abetting the Violence? - June 11, 2025

Dick Young’s Must Reads

  • Marry Compound Interest, Divorce Market Timing
  • DIGITAL DOLLAR DOOMSDAY: The Wall Street Journal Is NOT Going to Tell You This
  • Your Survival Guy at Fidelity and Your RMD Compliance
  • Russian Black Sea Fleet Decimated
  • FARM AMERICA: New York City’s Finest Cheesemongers
  • “The Losses are Taking a Toll on Their Health”
  • What to Do about China?
  • Biden Wants to Gut the Tax Benefit of 401K Plans
  • What Do You Know About Rho-Kinase?
  • Is Rutin Useful in Preventing Blood Clots?

Our Most Popular Posts

  • The Night of the Living Dead
  • TRUMP: "Everyone Should Immediately Evacuate Tehran!"
  • Are You Familiar with the EF and Arithmetic?
  • A Classic Issue from Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report
  • Political Theater on Display: Padilla's Wild Day
  • A Nationwide Day of Defiance
  • Best Bang for Your Buck: Top 5 AR-15s of 2025
  • Epic Man Cave with Car Elevator in Utah
  • Israelis Speculate on American Involvement in War with Iran
  • GBU-57/B: Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP)

Compensation was paid to utilize rankings. Click here to read full disclosure.

RSS Youngresearch.com

  • Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report from Feb. 1987
  • America’s Energy Boom: Record Net Exports and Rising Renewables
  • Senate Passes First U.S. Stablecoin Regulation Bill
  • Game-Changing Vision: Meta and Oakley Unveil AI Performance Eyewear
  • A Great Victory for Liberty
  • Letchworth: Are You Living Your Best Retirement Life?
  • Job Openings Rise in Four States, National Rate Steady
  • Ethane Shipments Stall as U.S.-China Trade Tensions Rise
  • Historic Tax Cuts Across All States
  • Are You Familiar with the EF and Arithmetic?

RSS Yoursurvivalguy.com

  • Richard C. Young’s Intelligence Report from Feb. 1987
  • Private Equity Is the Next Big Thing Coming for YOU
  • The Wildlife in Kansas
  • PRECIOUS: Silver and Gold
  • June Rage Gauge: Best Déjeuners in Paris
  • Letchworth: Are You Living Your Best Retirement Life?
  • Will SALT Kill the “One Big Beautiful Bill?”
  • You’ve Read the Last Issue of Intelligence Report: Back to Investor’s Yield
  • The Sound of Silence?
  • Are You Familiar with the EF and Arithmetic?

US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool

My Key West Garden Office

Your Retirement Life: Traveling the Efficient Frontier

Live a Long Life

Your Survival Guy’s Mt. Rushmore of Investing Legends

“Then One Day the Grandfather was Gone”

Copyright © 2025 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives