At Spectator World, Cockburn explains that odds on British bookmakers, Betfair, predict Donald Trump as the most likely winner of the 2024 presidential election. Cockburn writes:
They say betting markets are more reliable indicators of election outcomes than the pundits and even the polls.
But the latest odds from British oddsmakers in the 2024 presidential elections caused Cockburn to raise an eyebrow. On Thursday Donald J. Trump became favorite on Betfair to be the 2024 presidential winner, with his ‘shortest odds ever’. According to the betting exchange, Trump has a 21 percent chance of winning. President Joe Biden, who is plummeting in the polls, has fallen to 19 percent.
Elsewhere, Vice President Kamala Harris has a 13 percent chance of victory — which reflects the widespread theory that she will at some point take over from the doddery Commander-in-Chief.
Mike Pence is on a feeble 4 percent. Meanwhile the Florida governor Ron DeSantis, increasingly the darling of the Republican right, has 13 percent. But for all DeSantis’s popularity, he has a long way to go to catch Trump — who remains by far the biggest beast in the Republican jungle.
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