Richardcyoung.com

The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young

  • Home
  • How We Are Different
  • About Us
    • Foundation Principles
    • Contributors
  • Investing
    • You’ve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What?
  • Your Survival Guy
  • The Great Reset
  • COVID-19
  • My Rifles
  • Concentrate on Dividend Record and Compounding
  • Your Security
  • The Swiss Way
  • Dick Young
  • Debbie Young
  • Key West
  • Paris
  • Dick’s R&B Top 100
  • Liberty & Freedom Map
  • Your Health
  • Ron Paul
  • Bank Credit & Money
  • Freedom Force
  • Dick Young’s Safe America
  • Bank for International Settlements

The Fourth—and Most Dangerous—Investment Super Cycle of My Career

July 26, 2019 By Richard C. Young

By Leremy @ Shutterstock.com

I have now been working in the investment industry for 55 years, and over that time I have lived through four stock market super cycles, including the present, and most dangerous one. I explained the four cycles in March 2011, writing:

Stock Market Super cycles

I assure you, I do not plan to get gored on the next angry charge. Here is exactly how to look at things. Read and re-read what I am going to tell you here, and remember this stuff for the rest of your life. Since I got into the investment business, there have been three completed big cycles swings in the stock market. Cycle number four has now begun.

The first cycle featured a nasty run-up in interest rates that ended with the 1981/1982 recession. During this period, the T-bill rate neared 20%, and the Dow ended 1981 below its year-end 1965 level. Not so good for cycle #1.

Cycle #2 kicked off at the outset of the 1981/1982 recession and ended as the decade of the ’90s came to a close. It was a great two decades for stocks and bonds, as interest rates collapsed.

With the new century, cycle #3 got under way. It was a roller-coaster ride in interest rates: rates declined in the early years of the new century, rose in the middle of the decade, and fell back to complete a final cyclical trough. The stock market completed a volatile 10 years right back where it began, with no net gain in the decade. Cycle #3 was a loser.

OK then, in the first three stock market super cycles, we had two losers and one winner. Now what? As cycle #4 is forming, interest rates could not be lower. The cyclical bottom has passed. The rate on Fed funds is basically zero. Savers are being paid squat while the Fed fraudulently subsidizes the Wall Street banks at the expense of America’s thrifty, retired savers. It is a travesty.

That fourth super cycle is still underway. Savers aren’t being paid enough, and interest paid to savers is set to decline before it rises.

In tricky investing times like these, it is important for investors to manage risk. If you are looking for ways to do that, fill out the form below. You’ll be contacted by a seasoned member of the team at my family run investment counsel, Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. They can conduct a no obligation portfolio review for you, examining strategies to help you avoid risk.

Originally posted on Young’s World Money Forecast.

Related Posts

  • Super Saturday sales the latest sign Trump’s economy is unstoppable
  • Super Bowl Halftime
  • Super Bowl 50 Best Ad Winner
  • Author
  • Recent Posts
Richard C. Young
Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com.
Latest posts by Richard C. Young (see all)
  • Biden’s Anti-Job Executive Orders Could Alienate Labor Forever - March 8, 2021
  • Can Trump Overcome His Biggest Failures and Win in 2024? - March 8, 2021
  • MAP: Track the States With No Mask Mandates - March 5, 2021

Dick Young’s Must Reads

  • The Butterfly Effect and Chaotic Markets
  • Hillsdale College: What College Is Meant to Be
  • Richard Feynman Solved the Space Shuttle Disaster Mystery
  • U.S. Survival AR-7
  • The Fed – “Independent” and “Non Political” – Joins The Resistance
  • Sweden – Not a Socialist Paradise, but a Model of Ruthless Capitalism
  • Gold’s 50-Year Price Explosion
  • “The Great Object Is that Every Man Be Armed”
  • V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion
  • Sen. Hawley Makes the Case Against U.S.-China Relationship

Our Most Popular Posts

  • Do You Know About the Great Money Explosion?
  • What’s Responsible for the Global Decline in COVID Deaths?
  • Has Bill Gates Been Injected Yet?
  • Gov. Newsom Discovering the Power of the Pen
  • “God Bless America”
  • MAP: Track the States With No Mask Mandates
  • Is This Proof the COVID-19 Case Numbers are Fake?
  • Teaching A Family Investment: Warren Buffett’s Annual Letter and You
  • Here's What the Media Won't Tell You About Bill Gates
  • Richard C. Young: How About Joining Us in Key West

Disclosure

RSS Youngresearch.com

  • Your Retirement Life: Meet A Modern Day Ski Warrior
  • How Bull Bashes End
  • Your Social Life During the Pandemic and MORE
  • Good Timing? Virgin Galactic Shares Tumble After Chairman Sells Shares
  • Do You Remember When You Purchased Your First Home?
  • Which Fossil Fuel Wins in a Shift to Renewables?
  • Richard Young Reports: The Great Money Explosion and Disasters
  • Fidelity’s 26 Million Retail Accounts in 2020, Up 17%
  • You’re Rich When You Invest Like Croesus
  • Joel Kotkin: Economic Civil War

Biden’s Anti-Job Executive Orders Could Alienate Labor Forever

Biden, a Job Killing Machine

Your Retirement Life: Meet A Modern Day Ski Warrior

Can Trump Overcome His Biggest Failures and Win in 2024?

Joe Biden Is Intentionally Creating a Crisis at the Border

Senile? Democrats Want to Repeal Biden’s War Powers

Copyright © 2021 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives