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Who’s to Blame for California’s Rising Energy Prices?

October 12, 2022 By Debbie Young

President Joe Biden greets California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) as he arrives at Mather Airport on Air Force One Monday, September 13, 2021, in Mather, California, for a briefing on wildfires at the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services. (Official White House Photo by Adam Schultz)

Hint: it’s not Moscow.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom is considering calling a special session of the state legislature to address the state’s highest-in-the-nation gasoline prices, including a possible new tax on oil industry profits, reports The WSJ’s Christine Mai-Duc and Benoît Morenne.

From Gov. Newsom:

“Greed and manipulation, that’s all this is,”

“All this” is Newsom’s referring to California’s gasoline prices, the only in the nation currently averaging above $6. In cities including Los Angeles, some stations are charging more than $7 for regular unleaded.”

Speaking of Oil Companies

Newsom added:

“We mean business and if they don’t believe it, they’re about to find out.”

Newsom also warned that he and legislative leaders would consider options including what he described as tax on “windfall” profits.

Why in the Biden era would businesses in general suddenly become more greedy?

James Freeman of the WSJ has one possible answer:

Could it possibly be that government policies are at fault for rising prices?

Most people wouldn’t even bother trying to make this case to the pols who run Sacramento, but at least one company appears to be seizing the day. Adam Beam and Kathleen Ronanyne report for the Associated Press:

Vice president of Valero Energy Scott Folwarkow recently wrote to the California Energy Commission:

As demanded and with one business day to respond, Valero is providing the following response…

As the Commission knows, and as countless investigations have demonstrated, market drivers of supply and demand, together with government-imposed costs and specifications, determine market price.

Ironically, on the same day we received the Commission’s letter, a federal judge in a 103-page reasoned order, following review of thousands of pages of documents and hours of depositions and discovery, yet again threw out another case alleging price conspiracies by the fuel industry finding no basis for the allegations…

We have been endeavoring to keep our refineries at full production and no one has produced more low carbon renewable fuel for the California market than Valero. Nevertheless, the market has been very tight. With a very short supply market, inventories are pulled down to satisfy the demand. In fact, the Commission would not want to see refiners holding inventories in a tight market. Also, as noted below, the closure of California refineries has necessarily eliminated their working inventories which will lower overall state inventories levels.

As to separation between California prices and the prices in the rest of the United States, we can offer the following information. For Valero, California is the most expensive operating environment in the country and a very hostile regulatory environment for refining. California policy makers have knowingly adopted policies with the expressed intent of eliminating the refinery sector. California requires refiners to pay very high carbon cap and trade fees and burdened gasoline with cost of the low carbon fuel standards.

Shutting Down Refineries?

With the backdrop of these policies, not surprisingly, California has seen refineries completely close or shut down major units. When you shut down refinery operations, you limit the resilience of the supply chain.

From the perspective of a refiner and fuel supplier, California is the most challenging market to serve in the United States for several additional reasons. California regulators have mandated a unique blend of gasoline that is not readily available outside of the West Coast. California is largely isolated from fuel markets of the central and eastern United States. California has imposed some the most aggressive, and thus expensive and limiting, environmental regulatory requirements in the world. California polices have made it difficult to increase refining capacity and have prevented supply projects to lower operating costs of refineries.

Passing On Costs to Consumers

We believe the Commission experts understand that California cannot mandate a unique fuel that is not readily unavailable [sic] outside of the West Coast and then burden or eliminate California refining capacity and expect to have robust fuel supplies. Adding further costs, in the form of new taxes or regulatory constraints, will only further strain the fuel market and adversely impact refiners and ultimately those costs will pass to California consumers.

If you need further information or have additional concerns, please advise.

“That should pretty much cover it,” notes Mr. Freeman.

… many California drivers will no doubt be thanking Mr. Folwarkow and his employer. Well done, Valero.

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Debbie Young
Debbie, editor-in-chief of Richardcyoung.com, has been associate editor of Dick Young’s investment strategy reports for over three decades. When not in Key West, Debbie spends her free time researching and writing in and about Paris and Burgundy, France, cooking on her AGA Cooker, driving her Porsche Boxter S through Vermont and Maine, and practicing yoga.
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