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The Fed is No Queen’s Gambit Child Prodigy

July 16, 2021 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

By Summai @ Shutterstock.com

You need a magnifying glass to see how low interest rates are today. I save you time with my chart series here. When everyone’s saying, “the Fed isn’t raising rates until late 2022 or early 2023,” don’t you think that’s already baked into today’s cake? Of course, it is.

When inflation is already an issue, the Fed doesn’t want to rock the boat and increase the cost for payments on our nation’s debt. The Fed is hoping for a good outcome just like any other human. And that’s the problem with human nature: hubris.

Instead of having a set of instructions and rules to follow in setting rates, the Fed moves its chess pieces as if it’s a Queen’s Gambit child prodigy. Look, I’m Your Survival Guy not “Your Chess Master,” but these moves are obvious.

This honeymoon for stocks won’t last forever. How much can you take if your stocks fall by a third like they have three times already this century? And a third is being kind. Remember how Nasdaq cratered in the tech bust?

Focus on blue-chip dividend payers, a value play Your Survival Guy loves. Don’t get greedy with the yields. You just want payers with a track record of paying above-average dividends while consistently increasing them.

Action Line: Remember, I’m the weatherman, not the weather. Sorry, but bad stuff happens. Stick with me to get through the storm. But only if you’re serious.

Originally posted on Your Survival Guy.

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
E.J. Smith is Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. His focus at all times is on preparing clients and readers for “Times Like These.” E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998.

E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH, NH, where he completed course-work in Practical and Defensive Handgun, Conceal Carry Pistol, Shotguns, Precision Scope Rifle and Kidnapping Prevention.

E.J. plays a Yamaha Recording Custom drum set with Zilldjian cymbals. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zildjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart (RIP) of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West and Paris.

Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@yoursurvivalguy.com

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