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RAGE Gauge February: When to Buy or Sell?

January 18, 2024 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

By ImageFlow @ Shutterstock.com

Your Survival Guy’s February RAGE Gauge is in, and it’s not terrible. Finally, we have some yields we can sink our teeth into, and dividend-paying stocks are getting more respect. That’s good. Plus, it’s an election year, and the Fed, a political beast, is aiming to please. But there’s plenty of reasons for concern, too. My RAGE Gauge is a tick lower, which leads me to another question to ask your potential advisor: How do you manage money in bad markets?

Your Survival Guy’s weathered some tough ones, mostly created by the bad behavior of others: the demise of the hedge fund Long Term Capital Management, the tech and real estate busts, and Covid, to name four. Everything was going just fine, and then, crack, the avalanche began without warning. Is there any other kind?

When I review prospective client statements (note the word prospective, because not everyone’s cut out for this), what I tend to see are trophy stocks. Stocks that have gone up in price and have been added to through the years while the ones that declined (often temporarily) were cut loose. That’s not investing to me. That’s hoping prices go up. To me, it needs to be about income.

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When you focus on the stability of income, you’re in a unique position to unearth investments that are under the radar. But it’s not easy going against the grain. It’s hard to buy when others aren’t. Like I wrote above, not everyone’s cut out for it.

When investors own just a handful of trophy stocks, it gets more difficult to sell. They’re good at buying. Not so much with selling because knowing when to sell is hard. There can also be more taxes involved. And there’s the “greed” thinking about how terrible it will be if it doubles from here and all the money that was “lost.” Those are the emotions of money.

Action Line: I’ve never met an investor who likes selling the “winners.” That’s how trophy cases are filled. But it’s worth noting that trophies can only be so high. Let’s talk.

Originally posted on Your Survival Guy. 

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
E.J. Smith is Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. His focus at all times is on preparing clients and readers for “Times Like These.” E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998.

E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH, NH, where he completed course-work in Practical and Defensive Handgun, Conceal Carry Pistol, Shotguns, Precision Scope Rifle and Kidnapping Prevention.

E.J. plays a Yamaha Recording Custom drum set with Zilldjian cymbals. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zildjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart (RIP) of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West (RIP JB) and Paris.

Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@yoursurvivalguy.com

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
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