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Money: What Trump Means for Your Stocks and Income

November 11, 2024 By E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

President Donald J. Trump disembarks Marine One on the South Lawn of the White House Monday, April 15, 2019. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)

Your Survival Guy takes note when Warren Buffett hoards $325 billion in cash, which is mostly invested in Treasury bills. When you look at the yield curve you can see he’s getting around five percent on his money. Not bad considering major investment firms are calling for about the same or less long-term returns for stocks. When you look at one of Buffett’s favorite indicators, stocks vs GDP, you can see reasons for his concern.

Which brings us to today’s discussion: When investors feel optimistic, they tend to see a bright future for stocks. When stocks are going up, they generally feel the next move for stocks will be higher.

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The opposite is not necessarily true when stocks decline. Investors tend not to turn pessimistic until the losses run amok through a portfolio. They never stop believing in their stocks and don’t sell because they think, “This time, it’s different.” It’s not.

These are strategies, if you can call them that, heavily influenced by emotions. Your Survival Guy, as a fiduciary, is not emotional about money. I’ve taken live bullets through the worst markets this century and lived to write about it.

If there’s one takeaway from Trump’s win, it is that stocks may go up and stocks may go down, much like they have throughout history. The key is for you to have a plan to create income streams that come into your bank account on a regular basis. When you focus on income, you create a compounding mechanism to help you through good times and bad times. You do not bet the ranch on prices.

Action Line: Now is as good a time as any to get your fixed-income house in order, especially while everyone’s jubilant about stocks.

When you’re ready to talk about Treasurys, email me at ejsmith@yoursurvivalguy.com. But only if you’re serious.

Originally posted on Your Survival Guy.

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
E.J. Smith is Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. His focus at all times is on preparing clients and readers for “Times Like These.” E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998.

E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH, NH, where he completed course-work in Practical and Defensive Handgun, Conceal Carry Pistol, Shotguns, Precision Scope Rifle and Kidnapping Prevention.

E.J. plays a Yamaha Recording Custom drum set with Zilldjian cymbals. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zildjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart (RIP) of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West (RIP JB) and Paris.

Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@yoursurvivalguy.com

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy
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