What’s Holding Trump Back on “America First?”

President Donald Trump hosts a multilateral meeting with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine and European leaders, Monday, August 18, 2025, in the East Room of the White House. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)

You read recently that Ron Paul believes there’s still time for Trump to put America First in foreign policy. But what’s holding him back from doing it today? At the Institute for Political Economy, Paul Craig Roberts discusses what could be preventing Trump from moving more forcefully to change course on foreign policy. He writes:

Yesterday on his program Dialogue Works Nima had two guests, Larry Johnson, formerly of the CIA, and me. I come in at about the one hour mark at the close of the program with Larry. I recommend that you take advantage of the double feature.

Nima and I discuss the severe constraints on President Trump that handicap him in his effort to bring about not only a settlement in Ukraine but also impede a wider settlement with Russia that would put the world at peace.

Larry Johnson and I agree that the easiest way for Trump to conclude the conflict in Ukraine is to stop supplying, weapons, money, and diplomatic support. But to do this requires Trump to jettison the US military/security complex along with its budget and power which are dependent on having Russia as an enemy. Presidents such as John Kennedy, Richard Nixon, and Ronald Reagan who had in mind winding down the Cold War ran into problems with the military/security complex. The military/security complex has military bases or armaments manufacturers in nearly every state. The number of governors, House and Senate members, and businesses dependent on orders from military bases and weapon manufacturers is vast. The combination of taxes, employment, campaign contributions, and supply relationships is too large of a force for Trump to jettison.

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