In The American Spectator, Robert Stacy McCain casts doubt on the idea that Joe Biden will be able to edge out the President in a number of swing states. He writes (abridged):
Maybe the polls are right. Maybe “Sleepy Joe” will win Pennsylvania and carry New Hampshire by double-digit margin.
Start doing a little Electoral College math, however, and you realize that flipping Pennsylvania wouldn’t be enough to put Biden in the White House, nor would Michigan and Wisconsin get him past 270 Electoral College votes.
Maybe if he could also flip Florida, Biden would be in the game, but there are indications Trump has actually gained strength in Florida, wooing a greater share of the Latino vote since he carried the Sunshine State with a 110,000-vote margin four years ago.
If Trump wins Florida, Biden’s path to the White House becomes a long shot, no matter what the national polls say.
History tells us that Biden probably can’t be elected president without winning Ohio, and I don’t need to consult any polls on that subject. I just got back from Ohio, where I’ve seen the Trump signs lining those highways.
Robert Stacy McCain is the author of Sex Trouble: Essays on Radical Feminism and the War Against Human Nature. He blogs at TheOtherMcCain.com.