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Could the Republicans gain Seven to Nine Senate Seats?

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Minority Leader of the U.S. Senate Mitch McConnell, speaks at the dedication of the Dr. Norman Borlaug statue in the National Statuary Hall at the U. S. Capitol in Washington, D.C. on Tuesday, Mar. 25, 2014. Today commemorates 100 years since Dr. Borlaug’s birth. Through his scientific and humanitarian achievements, Nobel Laureate Dr. Norman E. Borlaug (1914-2009) has been credited with saving millions of people from starvation in developing countries. His collaborative work with scientists in Mexico on a high-yielding, disease resistant dwarf wheat sparked the Green Revolution of the 1960s. The National Statuary Hall Collection in the U.S. Capitol is composed of statues donated by individual states to honor persons notable in their history. USDA photo by Lance Cheung

On his radio show, Rush Limbaugh explained on Wednesday the analysis of Tom Bevan, head of Real Clear Politics. Despite all the talk of a “Blue Wave,” things aren’t looking terrible for the GOP. Bevan’s analysis suggests it won’t be the thrashing the media has insinuated. Rush said:

So Tom Bevan, co-founder of this place [Real Clear Politics], was on Fox Business Network today. He said that, if there was a blue wave, that it would be cresting at this point. it’s not. There is no cresting. There is no blue wave.

They’re projecting a Democrat pickup of 25-1/2 seats, which gives ’em a slight advantage. Democrats need to pick up 23. That’s the magic number.

But with even a tiny shift in just a couple of races, the GOP can hold the House. So all of this synthesized and stripped away to its bear essence, there isn’t a blue wave.

This guy, who is an historian, who has studied American politics and congressional races along the lines of Michael Barone, just not as well known. As he looks at things, he sees an absolute red wave.

He says the numbers he’s looking at from Nevada are exceptional. In Minnesota, Keith Ellison is cratering the whole Democrat Party.

Now Amy Klobuchar is in a seven-point race. She was not too long ago in a landslide victory situation that was so secured that she wasn’t even gonna have to spend any money. Now her lead is down to seven. [Karin] Housley is only down three in the governor race.

Keith Ellison, who is cratering, looks like he’s gonna lose by more than seven points. This guy says he’s getting reports from on the ground in Minneapolis and throughout the state that red areas are turning out in droves.

Once again, Republican early voting is through the roof, and nobody predicted this. The Democrats’ own early voting and the Republicans so far own it. And all over the country it looks like. And this is a stunner.

This is something people have not seen and nobody predicted this! In Nevada, Dean Heller is now on track to win by 35,000 votes. California, 39. California, 49. California 49 absentees.

All three seats would be safe. Antonio Sabato is up two points in his district. So California’s even got places, pockets where Republicans are looking good. Arizona, Republicans up over Democrats 12.4%. That’s up 3.9% over 2016. The Arizona 1, a Democrat seat is now close.

All of these thought to be Democrat locks just a month ago are now toss-ups. And this guy says to me, “I think we’re a in a position here to actually gain a couple of House seats, maybe seven to nine Senate seats at this rate if these kinds of trends — and it’s all based on polling data — continues.”

I don’t know how things are gonna end up, but I do know that none of this is the way the Democrats and the media thought this was gonna play out. There isn’t any blue wave.

This is my point. I think we’ve been lied to. We’ve had a media soap opera narrative that has been part of the effort to defeat Trump.

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Richard C. Young

Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com.