Election Update: The Tipping Point States

New Hampshire could provide the 270th electoral vote. I am uniquely familiar with not only the more conservative Carroll County, located in the northern part of the state, but also the neighboring state of Maine’s 2nd Congressional District. Maine is not a winner take all electoral state. It’s split between the two districts and a 2 point bonus for the statewide vote.

One electoral vote short of 270 will most likely keep Hillary out of the White House. Like other rural parts of this country, this northern area of New England has shed more than it’s fair share of blood and treasure in our senseless wars. I can’t imagine voters here will be kind on Hillary’s national security malfeasance. It’s embarrassing, and her arrogance may be her downfall here. And it’s why this slice of the country could very well decide the path of a Trump victory or Clinton coming up short of the 270 electoral vote. Regardless of the news from James Comey on Sunday that the FBI has re-closed its investigation in Clinton’s email server, Hillary’s malfeasance is on voters’ minds. My fingers are crossed. Nate Silver writes:

How about polls of swing states in particular? Right now, the tipping-point state in our forecast — the state that would provide the decisive 270th electoral vote if the polls got things exactly right — is New Hampshire. There, Clinton leads by only 1.7 percentage points in our adjusted polling average, as several recent polls show Trump tied or slightly ahead, along with others that still give Clinton the lead. Thus, Clinton’s doing a little bit worse in the tipping-point state than she is overall — a sign that she might win the popular vote but lose the Electoral College.

Will New Hampshire decide the 2016 election?

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

Preparing your investments and family for when disaster strikes.

E.J. Smith is the Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998. E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH, where he completed course-work in Practical and Defensive Handgun, Conceal Carry Pistol, Shotguns, Precision Scope Rifle and Kidnapping Prevention. E.J. plays a Yamaha Recording Custom drum set with Zilldjian cymbals. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zilldjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West and Paris. Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@youngresearch.com. Sign up here to receive all the best content from Richardcyoung.com each week.