Brexit a Pension Fund Risk?

I’ve written in the past about the threat that low market yields and returns pose to pension funds, where managers are setting expectations too high (see here). Now managers face a new threat, the fallout from the Brexit. The Wall Street Journal reports:

The retirement savings of tens of millions of people have come under new threat since the surprise U.K. vote to leave the European Union, thanks to a plunge in global interest rates.

A post-Brexit scramble for safer bonds pulled yields lower and upended global markets just as many public pension funds wrapped up their fiscal year on June 30, eating into any annual gains and widening already-large deficits. Many public pensions that were already having a bad year are expected this month to report their worst annual performances since the last financial crisis in 2008-09.

“We could see some pretty ugly 2016 financial statements,” said Matt Fabian, a partner at research firm Municipal Market Analytics.

A sustained period of rock-bottom rates in the U.S. and negative rates overseas is contorting financial plans for investors and consumers globally, from insurers that rely on bond income to retirees who have to live with lower returns on their certificates of deposit.

Before the vote on Brexit, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said that the decision would play into the thinking of the FOMC committee’s appropriate path of policy. Lower rates for longer could mean an even tougher time for pension funds going forward.

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E.J. Smith - Your Survival Guy

Preparing your investments and family for when disaster strikes.

E.J. Smith is the Founder of YourSurvivalGuy.com, Managing Director at Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd., a Managing Editor of Richardcyoung.com, and Editor-in-Chief of Youngresearch.com. E.J. graduated from Babson College in Wellesley, Massachusetts, with a B.S. in finance and investments. In 1995, E.J. began his investment career at Fidelity Investments in Boston before joining Richard C. Young & Co., Ltd. in 1998. E.J. has trained at Sig Sauer Academy in Epping, NH, where he completed course-work in Practical and Defensive Handgun, Conceal Carry Pistol, Shotguns, Precision Scope Rifle and Kidnapping Prevention. E.J. plays a Yamaha Recording Custom drum set with Zilldjian cymbals. His first drum set was a 5-piece Slingerland with Zilldjians. He grew-up worshiping Neil Peart of the band Rush, and loves the song Tom Sawyer—the name of his family’s boat, a Grady-White Canyon 306. He grew up in Mattapoisett, MA, an idyllic small town on the water near Cape Cod. He spends time in Newport, RI and Bartlett, NH—both as far away from Wall Street as one could mentally get. The Newport office is on a quiet, tree lined street not far from the harbor and the log cabin in Bartlett, NH, the “Live Free or Die” state, sits on the edge of the White Mountain National Forest. He enjoys spending time in Key West and Paris. Please get in touch with E.J. at ejsmith@youngresearch.com. Sign up here to receive all the best content from Richardcyoung.com each week.