The numbers ain’t pretty. Unemployment went from a near-record low to high in a matter of weeks; the T-bill rate, the investor’s North Star, is a fallen one (see below); gold is up, and background checks are still high (about double compared to this time last year). Elevated risks are everywhere and yet the […]
What My RAGE Gauge™ is Telling You
Coronavirus Infects Stock Market: Part XXVI Before you dig into my latest RAGE Gauge™, let’s spend a few minutes defining the coronavirus pandemic: It has been way harder for some than it needed to be. I’m not talking about the poor. I’m not talking about those who are living paycheck to paycheck, either. Unfortunately, for […]
My March Rage Gauge: Take Inventory of Your Investment Life
My March Rage Gauge is in, and it feels like the calm before the storm. Does that mean the market will have a huge downward correction this year? Like I’ve written to you in the past, I’m not in the prediction business. Because for you to be a great investor, you need to put together […]
RAGE Gauge February: Is the Market Keeping You up at Night?
When the S&P 500 lost 9 percent in December it marked the worst December since the Great Depression year of 1931 when the index was down 14.5%. For all of 2018, the S&P 500 lost 6.2% compared to a loss of 47% in 1931. Now let’s not forget what the carnage looked like from the […]
You’ve Read the Last Issue of Intelligence Report: MTI and RAGE Gauge
In case you missed it, here’s what Dick Young wrote in his December 2016 issue of Intelligence Report: My Revitalized Market Tension Index (MTI) When will we know that the economy has entered recession? This month, I am reintroducing my Market Tension Index (MTI) to help you and I determine whether the economy is in […]
RAGE Gauge: Americans Unhappy
Throughout July, Americans signaled that they’re feeling more risk. Gold prices pushed higher, people bought more guns, and most frighteningly, dissatisfaction with the country jumped from 69% to 82%. It’s obvious the current political campaign is having an effect on people’s moods, and rightly so. No matter who you’re voting for, no one can deny […]
The First RAGE Gauge Reading Signals High Risk
For June 2016, my RAGE Gauge signals: High Risk Tension is high on the social and economic fronts. FBI Background checks continue to trend higher, dissatisfaction with the direction of the country is trending high, and the underemployment rate (U6) isn’t real encouraging in this sluggish economy. But it’s a sluggish economy with inflation. You […]
