The Single Chart That Can Sink Obama’s Re-Election Effort

Weeks of Unemployment is a solid measure of the health of the economy and structural employment. My chart gives you a bird’s eye look all the way back to when Bob Feller pitched for the Cleveland Indians. That’s a lot of history.

Today, shockingly, you can see that Americans are unemployed at twice the historic norm in terms of number of weeks unemployed. I have been advising small business owners for nearly five decades and have never witnessed as ugly an employment scene as we have today. Mitt Romney will have no problem putting this information in front of voters. And the Obama team has zero plausible explanation beyond abject ineptitude.

The Obama administration has failed America. Income re-distribution through higher taxes is a Marxist-oriented chestnut that should have American voters grinding their teeth.

In 2008, the inept John McCain garnered 169 Electoral College votes (based on new EC count). I am going to assume Mitt Romney can win this group. For now I have omitted Missouri. Romney will then need an additional 101 EC votes to pick up the 270 total to win the presidency. At current reading, the task looks well in hand. Based on people power, I calculate that Romney can win Wisconsin (10) behind a push from Ryan, Thompson and Walker; Michigan (16) Romney stomping grounds; Ohio (18) behind Kasich and Portman; Virginia (13) behind McDonnell; and Florida (29) behind Scott, Jeb Bush and Rubio. That’s 86 add-on votes, leaving Romney only 15 votes shy of victory.

Both Bushes carried Indiana. Behind Mitch Daniels, Romney should be able to carry Indiana. Romney is now 4 EC votes shy. That leaves Iowa (6), New Hampshire (4), New Mexico (5), North Carolina (15), and Missouri (10) to provide the final EC votes to put Romney over the top. Iowa and North Carolina are Right To Work states, which can play well for Romney. A Romney victory in any one of the final five will put Romney in the White House And I am not including potential Romney state Colorado (7), which was won by the Bush team.

Keep the message focused on employment or lack there of, and Mr. Romney should sail into the White House with impunity.