Will Trump Escalate after Iran’s Response?

President Donald Trump participates in Session I of the G7 Summit, Monday, June 16, 2025, in Kananaskis, Alberta, Canada. (Official White House Photo by Daniel Torok)

After President Trump ordered strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, it is expected that Iran will retaliate. An analysis from RANE Worldview expects Iran to respond without incurring an escalation from Trump. They write:

Iran will likely try to calibrate its kinetic response to the U.S. strikes on its nuclear facilities to avoid significant escalation, but its response will open the door to further attacks that include Iran targeting regional oil and gas production. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on June 22 said that the United States had “blown up” diplomacy with its decision to strike three Iranian nuclear facilities earlier that day, and that “we have to respond” following what has been more than a week of Israeli attacks that began on June 13.

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