New Hampshire holds its first-in-the-nation primaries today (Iowa holds caucuses), and the big race is for the GOP presidential nomination. But is a win by Donald Trump a foregone conclusion? The Spectator discusses the race, writing yesterday:
New Hampshire votes tomorrow in the 2024 presidential primaries — and it seems no one is expecting an upset. The Spectator team dispatched to Manchester and has observed a significantly quieter scene than that of the 2020 Democratic primary contest. News coverage is scanter than expected, the bars and restaurants are empty and there is plenty of parking, even as temperatures creeped above freezing today.
The only quasi-surprise so far is that Florida governor Ron DeSantis has suspended his campaign already, although that seemed more a question of when not if, considering his poor showing in Iowa after spending more than $100 million campaigning. Former UN ambassador Nikki Haley reacted to the news during a campaign event at a seafood shack, telling supporters she wished him well and, referencing her now head-to-head battle with Trump, asserted, “may the best woman win.” DeSantis, however, endorsed the former president, who said he was “honored” to receive his backing. Trump will hold a large rally in Laconia this evening with Vivek Ramaswamy, Doug Burgum and Tim Scott.
New Hampshire is likely Haley’s only chance to prove she can compete with Trump, as she is relying on the state’s Independent voters to back her bid. Some polls have shown her within striking distance, but political consultants and commentators I’ve spoken to agree that she would be hard-pressed to come within ten points of the former president. After New Hampshire, voters will head to the polls in Nevada — where Nikki Haley has chosen to appear on the primary ballot as opposed to the state party’s separate caucus, which is how delegates will be awarded — and then South Carolina — Haley’s home state, where she is polling at about 25 percent to Trump’s 60 percent. In short, if Haley doesn’t over perform in New Hampshire, her candidacy is effectively over.
Read more here.
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