At The New York Sun, Russell Payne analyzes the GOP primary in Colorado’s 4th District, where Rep. Lauren Boebert hopes to become the party’s nominee after leaving the 3rd District behind. Payne writes:
In one week, Congresswoman Lauren Boebert will face her first primary election in her new district, after leaving her old one to avoid what was anticipated to be a close general election campaign.
Ahead of the 2024 election, Ms. Boebert announced that she would be moving to Colorado’s Fourth District and leaving Colorado’s Third Congressional District, where she was elected to Congress in 2020 and re-elected in 2022.
The move meant she would not face off against her 2022 Democratic opponent, Adam Frisch, who came within half a point of winning in 2022, again this year. The move did, however, put her into a more competitive primary than she would have faced in her old district.
On June 25, Ms. Boebert will face the GOP primary voters at her new district for the first time, and most indicators suggest that she’s poised to win the competition.
A late May Kaplan Strategies survey of 343 likely voters in the district found that she had 40 percent support in the six-way primary while her closest competitor, businessman Peter Yu, only had 5 percent support.
Ms. Boebert has also significantly out-fundraised her opponents, bringing in about $2 million for her campaign, according to the latest Federal Elections Commission filings. Her best-funded opponent, conservative radio host Deborah Flora, has only raised about $418,000.
Ms. Boebert’s strong positioning in the primary comes despite — or perhaps because of — her penchant for making headlines and her position as one of the loudest voices on the GOP’s right fringe in the House.
Read more here.
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