Should You Trust the Polls?

President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks Saturday, Feb. 29, 2019, in Oxon Hill, Md. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour)
Vice-President Joe Biden speaks at the Pentagon, March 14, 2013. (DoD photo by Mass Communication Specialist 1st Class Chad J. McNeeley/Released)

At The American Spectator, Scott McKay lists some reasons to doubt the polls. He writes (abridged):

Here are five things to consider that might make you doubt …polls.

1. Nothing much has changed since 2016.
   All of those terrible polling numbers showing Trump getting murdered by Biden? They were just as bad in 2016.
   We don’t really need to go back through all of the double-digit leads Hillary Clinton had on Trump, and the alleged mathematical certainties of a Hillary win and so on. Everybody knows the pollsters blew it then.
2. American culture is trending Trump’s way, not Biden’s.
   You’re aware there has been a massive run on guns and ammunition this year, right? Do you think the people buying those guns are Biden voters? Biden has been one of the foremost gun-grabbers in American politics over the past half century. Why would people rush out to buy guns Biden wants to take away, and then vote for Biden to take them?
   Then there is the massive departure of America’s urban middle class to the suburbs and the exurbs
3. Ground game advantage: Trump (Bigly).
   The voter registration numbers in Florida fly hard in the face of those poll numbers.
4. What is Biden selling, anyway?
   In the media age, there has never been a candidate who won a presidential election without a message that captured the public’s attention.
   Joe Biden is selling … what? Wear your mask
5. He who has more fun, wins
   Campaigns are few and far between that can win elections without being the side more fun to be on.
   What’s fun about Joe Biden?
   Those rioters aren’t Biden’s people, you know. They’re nobody’s people. To the extent they’re for Biden it’s because they think they can overthrow him.

Scott McKay is publisher of the Hayride, which offers news and commentary on Louisiana and national politics.