By Gorodenkoff @Adobe Stock
Violent Crime Up 4.5% in 2022
Over three weeks ago, the FBI released revised data that shows Donald Trump is at least on the right track: Crime, perhaps not “soaring, “is rising. The FBI’s lack of acknowledgment or explanation of the significant change should be concerning.
Violent crime, according to FBI increased by 4.5% in 2022. Violent crime includes murder, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assaults.
A leading Democrat Party talking point is noting how wrong Donald Trump is about his claims of rising crime in the US.
The Bureau – which has been at the center of partisan storms – made no mention of these revisions in its September 2024 press release.
According to John H. Lott, Jr. in RealClearInvestigation:
When the FBI originally released the “final” crime data for 2022 in September 2023, it reported that the nation’s violent crime rate fell by 2.1%. This quickly became, and remains, a Democratic Party talking point to counter Donald Trump’s claims of soaring crime.
But the FBI has quietly revised those numbers, releasing new data that shows violent crime increased in 2022 by 4.5%. The new data includes thousands more murders, rapes, robberies, and aggravated assaults… It’s been over three weeks since the FBI released the revised data. The Bureau’s lack of acknowledgment or explanation about the significant change concerns researchers.
“I have checked the data on total violent crime from 2004 to 2022,” Carl Moody, a professor at the College of William & Mary who specializes in studying crime, told RealClearInvestigations. “
There were no revisions from 2004 to 2015, and from 2016 to 2020, there were small changes of less than one percentage point. The huge changes in 2021 and 2022, especially without an explanation, make it difficult to trust the FBI data.”
The FBI did not respond to RCI’s repeated requests for comment.
John R. Lott Jr. is president of the Crime Prevention Research Center and he lives in Missoula. He served as senior adviser for research and statistics in the Office of Justice Programs and the Office of Legal Policy at the Justice Department.
In the WSJ, Homan W. Jenkins, Jr. argues that it is unlikely that Trump would have been elected in 2016 without “Comey’s insubordinate and improper actions, the most important details of which are still hidden in the only part of the scathing 2018 Justice Department inspector general postmortems on Mr. Comey’s tenure to remain sealed under a top-secret classification.”
The public knows only that, internally at the FBI and later in closed hearings of the House and Senate Intelligence committees, James Comey, FBI chief, justified his actions by citing false and likely fabricated Russian intelligence. His intervention culminated in his reopening of the email case 11 days before the election, which Hillary Clinton, independent pollsters and Mr. Comey’s own FBI colleagues say caused Mr. Trump’s victory.
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