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Joe Biden – the Democrats’ Black Swan?

March 12, 2020 By Debbie Young

Vice President Joe Biden greets U.S. Ambassadors in attendance at the 2016 Chief of Missions Conference in Washington, D.C., on March 14, 2016. [State Department Photo/Public Domain]

Joe Biden’s nomination – most Democratic leaders and pundits believe the contest is over – is no black swan event. Rather “it was predictable and even comforting in its inevitability,” writes Daniel Henninger in the WSJ.

Even Dog Catchers Endorsed Joe

Rep. Jim Clyburn’s endorsement of Mr. Biden before the South Carolina vote will remain the signal event of the 2020 Democratic primary. What followed was an all-at-once burst of endorsements for Mr. Biden from every corner of the Democratic Party. Not just the usual Washington figures, but governors, small-town mayors, statehouse representatives, dogcatchers.

Reality Intrudes

Joe Biden is no Barack Obama. Mr. Biden is best seen as the moderate winner of “Democratic Survivor.” If Mr. Biden’s candidacy had collapsed, as it did in 1987 and 2008, Democratic primary voters would have defaulted to last moderate standing, as Mike Bloomberg reasonably assumed.

Will the Craziest Man Win

Now the party is stuck with a 77-year-old guy who is bizarrely prone to picking fights with factory workers. It’s hardly promising when the candidate running on a return to civility and normalcy looks increasingly like a different version of Trumpian road rage.

The coronavirus has put an old phrase on everyone’s lips: We are in uncharted waters. And so it is with this presidential election, which could come down to voters having to choose between the two nominees’ mental conditions.

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Debbie Young
Debbie, editor-in-chief of Richardcyoung.com, has been associate editor of Dick Young’s investment strategy reports for over three decades. When not in Key West, Debbie spends her free time researching and writing in and about Paris and Burgundy, France, cooking on her AGA Cooker, driving her Porsche Boxter S through Vermont and Maine, and practicing yoga.
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