In Tuesday’s Indiana primary, 57 delegates are in play—30 delegates will be awarded to the statewide winner, and 27 delegates (3 per congressional district) will be awarded district winners. As things stand this morning, it appears that Mr. Trump will win the 30 statewide delegates to capture the Indiana primary.
As to delegate distribution, Mr. Trump is in a good position to capture the blue-collar vote. There are more manufacturing jobs in Indiana, relative to total employment, than anywhere else in the country. Indiana voters know full well that bringing back America’s manufacturing jobs is at the heart of Trump’s America First message.
Trump should win a majority of the 9 congressional districts. The badly fading Cruz seems to have a clear shot at just one district.
Donald Trump supporters have to be crossing their fingers for not only a state-wide, Bobby Knight facilitated, Indiana romp, but a final Indiana delegate haul of perhaps even 54 delegates. How would this position Mr. Trump heading to the California primary contest? Trump is projected to do extremely well in California. If so, he should be in position to lock-up a first ballot win at the Republican convention in my original hometown of Cleveland, Ohio (I am a Shaker Heights High grad).